- Anil Narendra
Last fortnight, I had written two articles on Pakistan in this column. In the first article, I had concluded that with the return of Zardari from Dubai, the situation in Pakistan could turn explosive. The article was written, when Asif Ali Zardari had suddenly fled to Dubai. My second article, titled 'Pakistan on cross road' came on 4th January. Both of my predictions are coming true. The political scenario in Pakistan is fast changing and it is difficult to understand the secret political games being played there. But, certain things are quite clear. Pakistan Army and ISI are not prepared to tolerate Zardari and Gilani. Zardari and Gilani are confronting Kayani and Pasha. Both are abusing each other and trading allegations. Tahrik-e-Insaf Party Chief and former cricketer, Imran Khan is at the centre. Imran's popularity graph is fast rising. It appears that he has the support of Army and the ISI. Army would like Imran to take reigns of power in the country in his hands. Then, the judiciary has also emerged as an important factor. Chief Justice Iftikhar Chowdhary appears to be playing in the hands of the Army. It was on the behest of the Army that the Chief Justice had played important role in the removal of General Parvez Musharraf. With the support of the Army, the Judiciary got Musharraf implicated in a number of cases in such a manner that he had no option but to flee Pakistan. Remaining behind curtains, the Army was able to achieve its objective. Now, same situations are being created for Asif Ali Zardari. It may be recalled that two days' before the memo gate episode, the Judiciary had gone to the extent of saying that Prime Minister Gilani was not an honest man, which led to confrontation between the Government and the Judiciary. The Supreme Court has proved a thorn in the flesh for Zardari. The Supreme Court has made it clear to Gilani that this was the last opportunity for the Government to re-open the corruption cases against Zardari. The Supreme Court had warned the Prime Minister and the President on Tuesday that in case they fail to end 'high profile corruption', they may have to face action against them. The signals were quite clear. If Zardari remains in Pakistan, he could be sent to jail. Now let us talk about US. Relations between the US and the Pakistan have gone sour. The bitterness which set in, in their relations soon after the Osama raid, has further increased. We feel that US will not like Army rule in Pakistan. It is not in favour of Army rule in Pakistan, but it is also not happy with Zardari. General elections are still quite far. America is in a fix and unable to decide its course of action. General Parvez Musharraf is also planning to return from London this month. He has been warned, in case he returns to Pakistan, he would be put behind the bars. But Musharraf has reiterated his resolve to return home. A section of Pak Army wants that reigns of Army be handed over to Musharraf once again. In the last, comes the Pakistani awam. Unfortunately, in this political game, the awam appear to be ignored, whereas the expectations of Pak awamt are the most important factor. But, it is certain that the awam is very much disillusioned with the Zardari-Gilani Government. The corruption has reached to such an extent that Mr ten percent has graduated to Mr cent percent. Awam says that the Government has looted the country and bleeded the treasury. The situation in Pakistan has reached to an explosive level. It is fast heading towards a failed state, but a stable Pakistan is not only is in awam's favour, but for whole of the world including India. We hope that soon Pakistan would return to stability and the awam of Pakistan would win in the end.
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