Monday 23 May 2016

Results of the Assemble elections will have far reaching effects

With the mandate of the assembly elections in five states, two-three things come to front. First, the Congress has been significantly thrashed. The BJP’s Congress free India campaign has been successful up to a large extent. While the Congress ruled in 15 states in 2000, it has now been reduced to only six small states. If we add Puduchery and Bihar, the Congress is ruling in mere eight states. Congress is now ruling over just 15.6 per cent population of the country while it used to be more than 50 per cent at one time. Congress used to make fun of the chaye wala ,the chaye wala In Assam has taken over the entire tea state. Kerala too was captured by the Left Front. Due to lack of political foresight Congress had an alliance with the Left Front in West Bengal rejecting the offer of Mamta Banarjee. Now there is neither the Left nor the Congress. Shouldn’t it be treated as the beginning of Congress free India? Left in West Bengal and DMK in Tamil Nadu had the alliance with Congress, but after the crushing defeats both the Left and the DMK held the Congress responsible for it. DMK said that it had to face defeat due to alliance with Congress. While the CPI-M said that it was a mistake, an error to join hands with Congress. People of the state rejected the left parties holding them responsible for this alliance. The second important fact emerging is that in the elections of five states; BJP has only gained and lost nothing. It is important that the impact of these election results will be visible on the assembly elections next year and it may echo in the Lok Sabha polls too. The biggest achievement is that  for the first time the party  won the elections in any state in the North-East and going to form the government there. Besides it has opened its account in a state like Kerala. Party has not only increased its vote in West Bengal but increased its previous seats tally also. Assam results are like animation for the BJP. This is the first state where party projected the leader of party other than Narendra Modi after the Lok Sabha polls. Party succeeded in this game. Prior to this BJP had to face crushing defeat for contesting without projecting a  leader in Bihar and projecting outsider Kiran Bedi in Delhi. But by projecting Sarvanand Sonowal as the Chief Minister the party played a game and this was fully successful. It is itself significant that despite landslide victory in the Lok Sabha polls questions arose that the BJP is neither in the North-East nor in the South, so how it can be called a national party? BJP is ruling in 13 states (four NDA) which accounts for 43.1 per cent population of the country. Though BJP succeeded to form its government in just one state in the election in these five states; these results will have much impact on the duo of PM Modi and the Party President Amit Shah. Magic of Modi and the strategic understanding of Shah were being questioned after the crushing defeat in Delhi and Bihar but both will be in on a high horse now. Now we should talk about the increasing political status of the regional parties. We believe that the weakening of Congress is not in the favour of the nation. Leaders like Mamta Banarjee and Jayalalitha,Nitish kumar etc have been filling the political space vacated by the Congress. Voters have once again expressed confidence on Mamta Banarjee in West Bengal and given a clear message that whosoever works among the people there will only rule.  After MGR if any ruling party has come back to power again in Tamil Nadu, the credit goes to Jaylalitha. Jayalalitha has  become the Chief Minister of the State for the sixth term. Behind the win of Jayalalitha the impact of her welfare schemes was clear. Schemes like Amma Canteen, Amma Dispensary, and distribution of 20 kg rice to Ration Card holders, free mixer grinder, milking cows, goats and four grams of gold for mangal-sutras for women have been fruitful. The Centre should also take a lesson from Amma for welfare schemes along with development schemes. After two successive wins Mamta Banarjee and Jayalalitha are sure to get much importance at the Centre. The Centre will need support from Trinomool and AIADMK on various important bills including JTS pending in the Rajya Sabha. Congress had contested against Mamta in West Bengal and Jayalalitha in Tamil Nadu. As such it may be believed it’ll be difficult to maintain the relations of Congress with Trinomool and AIADMK in the Rajya Sabha as earlier. As such BJP may be gaining much as the party lacks majority in the Rajya Sabha. The party expects that Mamta and Jaya may now consider supporting the Centre in economic reforms. These two leaders not only maintained their magic but set new records also.

-        Anil Narendra

No comments:

Post a Comment